Week 11 MDA Breakout Stocks – March 2022: Short-Term Picks To Give You An Edge

Week 11 MDA Breakout Stocks - March 2022: Short-Term Picks To Give You An Edge

chinaface/E+ via Getty Images VMBreakouts.com Introduction

The Weekly Breakout Forecast continues my doctoral research analysis on MDA breakout selections over more than 7 years. This subset of the different portfolios I regularly analyze has now reached 250 weeks of public selections as part of this ongoing live forward-testing research. The frequency of 10%+ returns in a week is averaging over 4x the broad market averages over the past 5 years.

In 2017, the sample size began with 12 stocks, then 8 stocks in 2018, and at members’ request since 2020, I now generate 4 selections each week. In addition 2 Dow 30 picks are provided, as well as a new active ETF portfolio that competes against a signal ETF model. Monthly Growth & Dividend MDA breakout stocks continue to beat the market each year as well. I offer 11 top models of short and long term value and momentum portfolios that have beaten the S&P 500 since my trading studies were made public:

The cumulative breakout return average for 2022 is +41.11% not using the gauge signal. Officially, the MDA Breakout returns are still at 0% following the Momentum Gauge® signals and avoiding major market declines YTD. Despite recent strong returns, research shows it is safest to follow the signals and wait for the most positive momentum conditions with continuing negative signals and 17 consecutive weeks of negative signals since November. VMBreakouts.com Additional background on the Weekly MDA Breakout model: Value And Momentum MDA Breakouts +70.5% In 52 Weeks: Final 2021 Year End Report Card Returns from 21 Weeks of Positive Momentum Gauge signals in 2021

Last year there were only 21 positive trading weeks to achieve +70.5% returns and we are still waiting for an official positive trading signal in 2022. VMBreakouts.com Momentum Gauge® trading signal: Negative conditions ahead of Week 11

Readers should consider carefully the difference in return performance of momentum stocks over the years while the Momentum Gauges® have high negative values above 40. VMBreakouts.com Red weekly color indicates negative Momentum Gauge signals over the last 10 weeks. MDA breakout selections tend to underperform when the signal is negative and above 40 level. This was an especially strong factor in 2021 showing cumulative returns below with and without the signal. VMBreakouts.com Historical Performance Measurements

The MDA Breakout minimal buy/hold returns are at +70.5% YTD when trading only in the positive weeks consistent with the positive Momentum Gauges® signals. Remarkably, the frequency streak of 10% gainers within a 4- or 5-day trading week continues at highly statistically significant levels above 80% not counting frequent multiple 10%+ gainers in a single week.

Longer term many of these selections join the V&M Multibagger list now up to 122 weekly picks with over 100%+ gains, 46 picks over 200%+, 18 picks over 500%+ and 5 picks with over 1000%+ gains since January 2019 such as: Intrepid Potash ( IPI ) +2,368.9%

Enphase Energy ( ENPH ) +1136.9%

Trillium Therapeutics ( TRIL ) +1008.7%

More than 200 stocks have gained over 10% in a 5-day trading week since this MDA testing began in 2017. A frequency comparison chart is at the end of this article. Readers are cautioned that these are highly volatile stocks that may not be appropriate for achieving your long term investment goals: How to Achieve Optimal Asset Allocation 2022 Breakout Portfolio Returns

While in negative Momentum Gauge® conditions the current measured returns for 2022 are at 0% by following the signals and avoiding the record market downturns .

The Breakout Picks are high volatility selections for short-term gains, but with no selections below $2/share, under 100k average daily volume, or less than $100 million market cap. Prior returns are documented here:

2022 marks the worst start to the stock market since 2009 and the Momentum Gauge® MDA buy signals have been negative for 16 consecutive weeks since Week 46. It is best to follow the signals and avoid momentum stocks until conditions turn positive. VMBreakouts.com Market Momentum Conditions

The live Momentum Gauges® remain negative ahead of Week 11

The daily and weekly signals remain negative as well as 8 out of 11 of the individual sector gauges. App.VMBreakouts.com The Weekly Momentum Gauges® based on the broad 7,500+ stocks continue in negative conditions in a longer bearish signal. Negative weekly values remain high and we have had 16 out of the last 17 weeks negative. Negative conditions are increasing again this past week. App.VMBreakouts.com Two conditional signals that are very important to watch: Avoid/Minimize trading when the Negative score is […]

source Week 11 MDA Breakout Stocks – March 2022: Short-Term Picks To Give You An Edge

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